On Tuesday, April 6, Natalya Milchakova, Deputy Head of the Alpari Information and Analytical Center, commented in an interview with reporters on the information that the dollar rate during the auction rose above 77 rubles.
“The exchange rate is now affected by the external negative background, primarily the aggravated sanctions threat. In addition, the drop in oil prices also played a role, although not as significant as last year. But indirectly, the decline in oil prices also affects exchange rates. First of all, we are talking about geopolitical risks, “- RT quotes Milchakova.
The expert pointed to the strengthening in the world market since mid-March of the dollar index, which is causing capital flight from the currencies of developing countries to the dollar.
Milchakova also pointed to the negative consequences of the restrictive measures related to the spread of COVID-19 on the global economy.
“This, too, raises concerns about whether the global economy can recover. The slower it recovers, the less it will need hydrocarbons, that is, the main export commodity of Russia, ”the specialist concluded.
Earlier on the same day, it became known that the euro rate in the course of foreign exchange trading on the Moscow Exchange reached 91.2825 rubles. It was reported that the dollar rate as of 16:15 reached 77.2 rubles.
A day earlier, Maksim Biryukov, an analyst at Alfa Capital, told Izvestia that in the current month there is a high probability of maintaining the current levels of the dollar and euro against the ruble, or even temporary growth in response to macro events. The conflict in Donbass also brings uncertainty to the situation: the low predictability of this story increases the expectations of the volatility of the national currency, the expert said.
At the same time, on April 2, a senior analyst at Alpari Eurasia, Vadim Iosub, said that this year the ruble could strengthen by almost 10%, as a result of which the American currency will cost below 70 rubles, and the euro – below 85 rubles. He noted that against the background of the expected rise in the key rate of the Central Bank to 5% in April, one can confidently predict “excellent health of the ruble”.