Head of the Institute for Epidemiology in Berlin university complex “Charite ”, Professor Stefan Willich, believes that no“ intelligent system ”has been created to statistically assess the situation of detected cases of coronavirus. Five months ago, the Cabinet of Ministers agreed with Federal Chancellor Angela Merkel on an upper limit of 50 new infections per week per 100,000 inhabitants.
“At the time, this figure seemed optimal for an immediate response and imposition of restrictions, but in fact served only as a rough guide,” Willich told RBB. At the moment, many more tests are being carried out in Germany than in the spring. This means that just because of the increase in the number of tests, there is a possibility that the region will exceed the threshold set in the spring.
The expert believes that the figures should be based on representative samples that are just beginning to be carried out. “I think the benchmarks will need to be set differently in the next few weeks, based on new randomized tests and studies that have been carried out,” Willich said. This would allow better and more realistic monitoring of the situation in the regions and take action where it is really necessary.
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